Covid infection levels in England remained static in the week to 27 April. Around 1 in every 254 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk currently remains Moderately High. It is too early to see any impact of Easter holiday mixing in the data.
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- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 4 July 2026
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 20 April 2025
Covid infection levels in England have remained stable in the week to 20 April. The recent slow rise appears to have stopped, although this may be simply a reporting error. As of the week ending 20 April, around 1 in every 265 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk currently remains Moderately High.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 13 April 2025
Covid infection levels in England once again continue to slowly rise. As of the week ending 13 April, around 1 in every 258 people were infected. The overall Covid risk currently remains Moderately High, but we are tentatively predicting a return to High levels in May.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 06 April 2025
Covid infection levels in England continue to slowly rise, but remain historically low. As of the week ending 6 April, around 1 in every 267 people were infected. The overall Covid risk currently remains Moderately High, but we are tentatively predicting a Covid wave in May.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 30 March 2025
Covid infection levels in England have continued to slowly rise. As of the week ending 30 March, around 1 in every 273 people were infected. The overall Covid risk currently remains Moderately High, but we are tentatively predicting a Covid wave in late April or May.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 23 March 2025
For the first time in 18 weeks, Covid infection levels in England have risen slightly higher. As of the week ending 23 March, around 1 in every 293 people were infected, up 13% on last week. The overall Covid risk currently remains Moderately High, but we are tentatively predicting a Covid wave in April or May.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 16 March 2025
For the 17th week in a row, Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low. As of the week ending 16 March, around 1 in every 331 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
We have checked these figures against the only other reputable source available, the Scottish wastewater monitoring of Covid virus levels. While the figures aren’t directly comparable, both data sets show similar trends of a long period of static Covid levels. This makes us as confident as we can be that the Covid figures we give are credible.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 9 March 2025
Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low for the 16th week in a row. As of the week ending 9 March, around 1 in every 336 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
There is what might be the early signs of an increase in Covid infection levels, but not enough evidence to reliably indicate that a new wave is coming. We have checked these figures against the only other reputable source available, the Scottish wastewater monitoring of Covid virus levels. While the figures aren’t directly comparable, both data sets show similar trends of a long period of static Covid levels. This makes us as confident as we can be that the Covid figures we give are credible.
Influenza infections are still continuing to fall, and we expect them to be back to baseline levels in the next 2 months. However, UKHSA has warned of a possible second wave of a new variant of Norovirus, which causes sickness and diarrhoea and can be dangerous for many people. Norovirus is also a virus spread through the air by aerosol, like flu and Covid, as well as by droplets in the air and on surfaces.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 2 March 2025
For the 15th week in a row, Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low. As of the week ending 2 March, around 1 in every 343 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
We have checked these figures against the only other reputable source available, the Scottish wastewater monitoring of Covid virus levels. While the figures aren’t directly comparable, both data sets show similar trends of a long period of static Covid levels. This makes us as confident as we can be that the figures we give are credible.
Influenza infections are still continuing to fall, and we expect them to be back to baseline levels in the next 2 months.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 23 February 2025
Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low for the 14th week in a row. As of the week ending 23 February, around 1 in every 376 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
We have checked these figures against the only other reputable source available, the Scottish wastewater monitoring of Covid virus levels. While the figures aren’t directly comparable, both data sets show similar trends of a long period of static Covid levels. In addition, both sources are showing Covid levels to be at their lowest since 2021. This makes us as confident as we can be that the figures we give are credible.
Influenza infections continue to fall, and we expect them to be back to baseline levels in the next 2 months.
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