Articles in Covid-19

Covid wave still growing in England. Risk level remains High with 1 in 160 infected. PPE masks recommended indoors.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 11 October 2026

Covid infections in England have increased again, but at a slower rate. The overall Covid risk level has remains High. As of 11 October, 1 in every 160 people were infected, up 5% on last week. We continue to recommend that Covid-Cautious people take full precautions, including a PPE mask, in ALL indoor places.

Influenza (flu) levels in England are also still increasing as the winter flu wave continues to build. 

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Covid wave rapidly growing in England. Risk level now High with 1 in 175 infected. PPE masks recommended indoors.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 4 October 2026

The Covid wave in England is growing very fast, and the overall Covid risk level has been raised to High. As of 4 October, 1 in every 175 people were infected, up 34% on the previous week. We continue to recommend that Covid-Cautious people take full precautions, including a PPE mask, in ALL indoor places.

Influenza (flu) levels in England are also starting to very rapidly increase and there is no doubt that the winter flu wave is starting.

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Covid wave still rapidly rising in England. Risk level remains Moderately High at 1 in 234. Wear PPE masks indoors.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 27 September 2026

The Covid wave in England continues to grow very fast. As of 27 September, 1 in every 234 people were infected, up 31% on the previous week. The BuDS overall Covid risk level was Moderately High, but is likely by today (2 October) to be already High. We are now recommending that Covid-Cautious people take full precautions, including a PPE mask, in ALL indoor places.

Influenza (flu) levels are also starting to rapidly increase, although they are still lower at present. There is every sign that England will have another very bad flu winter wave.

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Covid wave likely rapidly rising in England. Take sensible precautions in all indoor places. Update to follow when data published.

Covid-19 Risk Estimate: Week Ending 27 September 2026

The Covid wave in England is likely continuing to grow, and infection levels as of 27 September were probably between 1 in 249 and 1 in 218 people infected. This is the time to take sensible precautions against catching Covid in all indoor places.

This is a brief update based on estimated growth of Covid in England. The NHS data on which we rely has been significantly delayed, so we cannot give you a more precise figure. However, the trend over the last few weeks is clear: the risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life is still rising, and the overall Risk now is almost certainly High. 

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Covid levels in England continue to rise. Risk level remains Moderate at 1 in 675. Precautions recommended in all but lower-risk indoor places.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 6 September 2026

Covid infection levels in England are continuing to rise as we move into the autumn. With 1 in every 675 people in England infected as of 6 September, the BuDS overall Covid risk level remains Moderate, but is now approaching Moderately High. These are still lower levels compared to last autumn, but it is now sensible to take precautions including PPE masks in all but lower risk indoor places.

Other respiratory viruses, including flu, remain at low levels but are gradually rising.  

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Covid levels in England jump by a third. Risk level rises to Moderate at 1 in 857. Full precautions needed in all but moderate & low risk places.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 30 August 2026

Covid infection levels in England have jumped by a third this week, and we have raised the BuDS overall Covid risk level to Moderate. With 1 in every 857 people in England infected as of 30 August, we now recommend precautions including PPE masks in all but medium and low risk indoor places.

Other respiratory viruses, including flu, remain at low levels but are rising as we move into the autumn.

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Covid levels in England stabilise. Risk level remains Moderately Low at 1 in 1120. Full precautions needed in higher risk places.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 23 August 2026

Covid infection levels in England have stabilised after recent increases. Infection levels remain historically lower, with 1 in every 1120 people in England now infected as of 23 August. The BuDS overall risk level remains Moderately Low.

Other respiratory viruses, including flu, remain at low levels but are rising as we move into the autumn. Precautions against catching Covid remain sensible and proportionate in some indoor areas, but levels are still sufficiently low for them not to be needed in all indoor places.

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Covid levels in England continue to rise. Risk level remains Moderately Low at 1 in 1120. Precautions advice upgraded again.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 16 August 2026

Covid infection levels in England continue to rise, according to the latest data, and we have once again upgraded our advice about the precautions that are appropriate in different places in response to the greater infection risk.  

That said, infection levels remain historically lower, with 1 in every 1120 people in England now infected as of 16 August. The BuDS overall risk level remains Moderately Low but is likely to rise to Moderate soon. Other respiratory viruses, including flu, remain at low levels but are also showing signs of a rise. It remains sensible and proportionate to take more precautions in some places now, but there is no need for alarm.  

This update replaces the one issued on 19 August. That update included data only to 9 August, but this one uses the latest data to 16 August. Hopefully the NHS will resume its normal cycle of weekly data reporting as the holiday season ends.

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