Covid wave rapidly growing in England. Risk level now High with 1 in 175 infected. PPE masks recommended indoors.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 4 October 2026

The Covid wave in England is growing very fast, and the overall Covid risk level has been raised to High. As of 4 October, 1 in every 175 people were infected, up 34% on the previous week. We continue to recommend that Covid-Cautious people take full precautions, including a PPE mask, in ALL indoor places.

Influenza (flu) levels in England are also starting to very rapidly increase and there is no doubt that the winter flu wave is starting.

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Covid wave still rapidly rising in England. Risk level remains Moderately High at 1 in 234. Wear PPE masks indoors.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 27 September 2026

The Covid wave in England continues to grow very fast. As of 27 September, 1 in every 234 people were infected, up 31% on the previous week. The BuDS overall Covid risk level was Moderately High, but is likely by today (2 October) to be already High. We are now recommending that Covid-Cautious people take full precautions, including a PPE mask, in ALL indoor places.

Influenza (flu) levels are also starting to rapidly increase, although they are still lower at present. There is every sign that England will have another very bad flu winter wave.

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Covid wave likely rapidly rising in England. Take sensible precautions in all indoor places. Update to follow when data published.

Covid-19 Risk Estimate: Week Ending 27 September 2026

The Covid wave in England is likely continuing to grow, and infection levels as of 27 September were probably between 1 in 249 and 1 in 218 people infected. This is the time to take sensible precautions against catching Covid in all indoor places.

This is a brief update based on estimated growth of Covid in England. The NHS data on which we rely has been significantly delayed, so we cannot give you a more precise figure. However, the trend over the last few weeks is clear: the risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life is still rising, and the overall Risk now is almost certainly High. 

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A graphic with a light yellow background. On the left is a blue box with text at the top reading "Fair4All Card: What Disabled People Say". Below is an image of a woman wearing a red jacket over a white t-shirt, leaning on a walking frame and smiling. On the right are a number of blue speech bubbles with shadows behind them. Each speech bubble contains a quote about the Fair4All Card. In the bottom right corner is the blue and yellow Fair4All logo. On the right of the logo is text reading "www.fair4all.org,.uk" and "The Fair4All Card by BuDS".

Fair4All Card: What Disabled People Say

The Fair4All Card is a secure photo card only for disabled people. It has the name and photo of the cardholder to prove that it is being used by the right person. BuDS issues the Fair4All Card only to disabled people, who are legally entitled to reasonable adjustments under the Equality Act 2010.

The Fair4All Card helps disabled people communicate the reasonable adjustments and exemptions they are legally entitled to. It’s evidence-based, meaning applicants must provide evidence of their disability. The front of the Fair4All Card has a photo of the card holder, while the back contains a list of reasonable adjustments and exemptions that are specific to the cardholder.

As the card has now been in circulation for a few years, BuDS has collated the views and opinions of cardholders, and produced the following case studies. These quotes come from real disabled people using the card. Only names and images have been changed to protect their identities.

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Covid levels in England continue to rise. Risk level remains Moderate at 1 in 675. Precautions recommended in all but lower-risk indoor places.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 6 September 2026

Covid infection levels in England are continuing to rise as we move into the autumn. With 1 in every 675 people in England infected as of 6 September, the BuDS overall Covid risk level remains Moderate, but is now approaching Moderately High. These are still lower levels compared to last autumn, but it is now sensible to take precautions including PPE masks in all but lower risk indoor places.

Other respiratory viruses, including flu, remain at low levels but are gradually rising.  

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A blue graphic. On the left is a image of the front of multiple military tanks. On the right is text reading: "Could ‘Welfare’ Cuts Fund Defence? Cutting ‘welfare’ could save billions But push millions into crisis Are there better ways to fund defence? Read our expert analysis to see how defence could be funded without cutting social security" Below is a QR code leading to the BuDS website page giving details on this topic.

Cutting ‘Welfare’ to Pay For Defence

Politicians of all political parties are talking about cutting ‘welfare’ (correctly known as social security) to pay for higher defence costs. BuDS has studied this issue and come up with another way to look at it.

This article is a ‘thought experiment’, not a detailed economic plan. While all the data used is from official Government sources, and the calculations (methodology) is sound, we are not trying to set out a detailed plan for Government. What we are doing is helping people understand the reality of a complicated situation, and to look at it in another way from that presented in the media.

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Covid levels in England jump by a third. Risk level rises to Moderate at 1 in 857. Full precautions needed in all but moderate & low risk places.

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 30 August 2026

Covid infection levels in England have jumped by a third this week, and we have raised the BuDS overall Covid risk level to Moderate. With 1 in every 857 people in England infected as of 30 August, we now recommend precautions including PPE masks in all but medium and low risk indoor places.

Other respiratory viruses, including flu, remain at low levels but are rising as we move into the autumn.

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A hypodermic needle and syringe seen against a black shadowy background

Assisted Suicide: Government May Be Underestimating Deaths By Nearly 400%

BuDS’ calculations suggest that the Government’s official Impact Assessment for Lauren Edwards’ Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill may be underestimating the number of medically assisted suicides by nearly 400%. Another way of saying this is that we think the Government’s estimate is almost 4 times smaller than it should be.

To put this in terms of numbers, the Government estimate that around 6,257 people per year will die by assisted suicide once the Bill comes fully into force. Our estimate is that 21,600 people could die by assisted suicide every year.

This really matters. MPs must know that, if they vote for Lauren Edwards’ Bill, they likely are putting in place a massive institutionalised system for the assisted suicide of tens of thousands of British people. This is a completely different situation to that suggested by lobbyists and pro-suicide apologists, who persistently claim that only a few hundred people who are already very close to death will be affected by the Bill.

We urge everyone who opposes this Bill to share our data and calculations with their MP. MPs must know exactly what they are doing if they vote for this Bill.

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