Articles in Risk Assessments

Covid infection levels in England have fallen again to a new low. The risk level remains Moderately Low, with 1 in every 1597 people in England infected.

As regular readers will know, BuDS researchers use highly reliable data to calculate prevalence. We independently confirm our results using all other available data. As Covid-cautious people ourselves, we rely on these estimates just as much as we know our readers do.

Covid infection levels in England have continued to fall and remain at the lowest levels recorded since 2020. The risk level remains Moderately Low, with 1 in every 1346 people in England infected.

This estimate is based on highly reliable data and is independently confirmed by all other available data, However, Covid has not vanished and people could still catch the virus in high-risk indoor places.

Covid infection levels in England have fallen to the lowest levels recorded since the pandemic began. The risk level is now Moderately Low, with 1 in every 1052 people in England infected. The risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, in the community remains at its lowest ever level.

This estimate is based on highly reliable data, and the downward trend of infection levels is independently confirmed by all other available data. As a community of disabled and highly Covid-cautious people, BuDS is satisfied that Covid infection levels in England are indeed at unprecedented lows at present. However, Covid has not vanished and there is still a risk of catching the virus in high-risk indoor places.

More Covid good news, as infection levels in England continue to fall to even lower levels. The risk level is still Moderate, with 1 in every 889 people in England infected. The risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, in the community remains at its lowest ever level.

More Covid good news, as infection levels in England continue to fall. The risk level is still Moderate, with 1 in every 735 people in England infected.

This week’s NOIDS data was collected over the first Easter holiday weekend, and may be revised next week. For this reason, we are only tentatively reporting a 1 in 735 incidence. However, even if this incidence is later slightly increased, it is certain that, overall, infection levels in England have remained at their lowest level since 2021.

More good news, as infection levels in England stay at their lowest level since 2021. The risk level is still Moderate, with 1 in every 640 people in England infected. In other good news, other respiratory viruses are now back at baseline levels. The risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, in the community remains at its lowest ever level.

The Covid good news continues, as infection levels in England remain at their lowest level since 2021. The risk level remains Moderate, with 1 in every 648 people in England infected. In other good news, other respiratory viruses are mostly now back at baseline levels. Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, in the community remains at its lowest ever level.

More Covid good news, as infection levels fall to their lowest level since 2021. For the first time, we have reduced the risk level to Moderate, with 1 in every 638 people in England infected. In other good news, other respiratory viruses are mostly now back at baseline levels. Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, in the community is at its lowest ever level.

Because of the lag in publishing other Covid data, we are basing our risk assessment this week entirely on NOIDS data. However, this data historically has been reliable, and we are confident as clinically vulnerable people ourselves that our assessment is accurate.

The Covid good news continues for another week, with risk levels remaining Moderately High and 1 in every 495 people in England infected. Other respiratory viruses, such as influenza (flu) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) remain above baseline but continue to decline.  Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, is still at historically lower levels.

The Covid good news continues for a further week, with risk levels remaining Moderately High and 1 in every 419 people in England infected. Other respiratory viruses, such as influenza (flu) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) remain above baseline but continue to fall fast.  Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, remains at historically lower levels.

As clinically-vulnerable people ourselves, we are reasonably confident that this is a robust risk assessment.