The Covid good news continues, as infection levels in England remain at their lowest level since 2021. The risk level remains Moderate, with 1 in every 648 people in England infected. In other good news, other respiratory viruses are mostly now back at baseline levels. Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, in the community remains at its lowest ever level.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 15 March 2026
More Covid good news, as infection levels fall to their lowest level since 2021. For the first time, we have reduced the risk level to Moderate, with 1 in every 638 people in England infected. In other good news, other respiratory viruses are mostly now back at baseline levels. Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, in the community is at its lowest ever level.
Because of the lag in publishing other Covid data, we are basing our risk assessment this week entirely on NOIDS data. However, this data historically has been reliable, and we are confident as clinically vulnerable people ourselves that our assessment is accurate.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 1 March 2026
The Covid good news continues for another week, with risk levels remaining Moderately High and 1 in every 495 people in England infected. Other respiratory viruses, such as influenza (flu) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) remain above baseline but continue to decline. Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, is still at historically lower levels.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 22 February 2026
The Covid good news continues for a further week, with risk levels remaining Moderately High and 1 in every 419 people in England infected. Other respiratory viruses, such as influenza (flu) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) remain above baseline but continue to fall fast. Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, remains at historically lower levels.
As clinically-vulnerable people ourselves, we are reasonably confident that this is a robust risk assessment.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 18 February 2026
The Covid good news continues for another week, with risk levels remaining Moderately High and 1 in every 392 people in England infected. Other respiratory viruses, such as influenza (flu) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) are still above baseline but declining fast. Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, remains at historically lower levels.
As clinically-vulnerable people ourselves, we are reasonably confident that this is a robust risk assessment.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 11 February 2026
The Covid good news continues, with risk levels remaining Moderately High and 1 in every 430 people in England infected. Other respiratory viruses, such as influenza (flu) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) remain elevated, but the trend in both is downwards. Overall, the risk from respiratory viruses, including Covid, is at historically lower levels.
As clinically-vulnerable people ourselves, we are reasonably confident that this is a robust risk assessment.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 1 February 2026
Covid infection levels in England have remained stable at historically lower levels in the last week. Reported influenza (flu) levels continue to fall fast, but have not yet returned to baseline levels.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 18 January 2026
Some good news: Covid infection levels in England have stabilised at historically lower levels, but are slowly edging up. Reported influenza (flu) levels continue to fall fast and, though flu is currently still at higher levels, the winter wave seen in December is now coming to an end.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 04 January 2026
Covid infection levels in England seem to have remained at historically lower levels over the last week. Reported influenza (flu) levels have also remained at high levels in the last week. These are tentative conclusions, as the data may be incomplete.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 28 December 2025
While data issues make the picture uncertain, Covid infection levels in England do not seem to have significantly increased since 14 December, and they may have fallen. For the present, we are maintaining our Covid risk level at Moderately High.
Reported influenza (flu) levels have also fallen significantly, although again there are data issues.
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