Articles in Covid-19

1 in 200 people in England likely now infected. 2 infected people in a busy supermarket. Risk of meeting someone with Covid remains High

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 7 April 2024

Covid infection levels in England seem to be remaining roughly the same, and the risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life remains HIGH. Everyone still needs to continue to take precautions to avoid catching Covid, because Covid has not gone away. Around 1 in 200 people in England are infected with Covid, as of 7 April. See below for more on how we calculated this.

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1 in 158 people in England likely now infected. 2 infected people in a busy supermarket. Risk of meeting someone with Covid is High

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 25 March 2024

Covid infection levels in England have stopped reducing, and seem to be remaining roughly the same. The risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life remains HIGH. Everyone still needs to continue to take precautions to avoid catching Covid, because Covid has not gone away. Around 1 in 158 people in England are infected with Covid, as of 17 March. See below for more on how we calculated this.

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1 in 85 people in England probably now infected. 4 infected people in a busy supermarket. Risk of meeting someone with Covid remains Very High

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 19 February 2024

It is safest to assume that Covid infection levels in England are roughly the same as last week – Covid is NOT declining to a low level. The available data is unclear, but it is certainly safe to say that the risk remains Very High. Everyone needs to continue to take precautions to avoid catching Covid. There are different estimates available, but we are working on the basis that around 1 in 85 people in England are infected with Covid as of 19 February. See below for more on how we calculated this.

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1 in 63 people in England likely now infected. 5 infected people in a busy supermarket. Risk of meeting someone with Covid is Very High

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 12 February 2024

Covid infection levels in England are probably staying at roughly the same level – Covid is NOT declining to a low level. The risk remains Very High, and everyone needs to continue to take precautions to avoid catching Covid. There are different estimates available, but we feel that between 1 in 63 and 1 in 70 people are infected with Covid as of 12 February. See below for more on how we calculated this.

As an example of the current risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have around 5 infected people breathing out virus for you to breathe in. In a full single decker bus, there will be around 1 infected person breathing out virus. In a busy train carriage, there will be around 3 infected people breathing out virus. In these circumstances, unless you wear a respiratory filter mask, you are very likely to catch Covid. Cloth and surgical masks do not protect you.

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1 in 58 people in England likely now infected. 5 infected people in a busy supermarket. Risk of meeting someone with Covid is Very High

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 4 February 2024

Covid infection levels in England are probably currently slightly declining, or staying at roughly the same level. The risk remains Very High, and everyone needs to continue to take precautions to avoid catching Covid. We tentatively estimate that around 1 in 58 people are infected with Covid as of 4 February. See below for more on how we calculated this.

As an example of the current risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have around 5 infected people breathing out virus for you to breathe in. In a full single decker bus, there will be around 1 infected person breathing out virus. In a busy train carriage, there will be around 3 infected people breathing out virus. In these circumstances, unless you wear a respiratory filter mask, you are very likely to catch Covid. Cloth and surgical masks do not protect you.

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1 in 47 people in England likely now infected. 7 infected people in a busy supermarket. Risk of meeting someone with Covid rises, and remains Extremely High

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 31 January 2024

Covid infection levels in England are currently rising at a slow rate. The risk remains Extremely High, and everyone needs to continue to take precautions to avoid catching Covid. We estimate that around 1 in 47 people are infected with Covid as of 31 January. See below for more on how we calculated this.

As an example of the current risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have around 6 or 7 infected people breathing out virus for you to breathe in. In a full single decker bus, there will be around 2 or 3 infected people breathing out virus. In a busy train carriage, there will be around 3 or 4 infected people breathing out virus. In these circumstances, unless you wear a respiratory filter mask, you are extremely likely to catch Covid. Cloth and surgical masks do not protect you.

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1 in 47 people in England likely now infected. 6 infected people in a busy supermarket. Risk of meeting someone with Covid remains Extremely High

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 21 January 2024

Covid infection levels in England remain Extremely High, and it remains essential that everyone takes precautions to avoid catching Covid. We tentatively estimate that around 1 in 47 people remain infected with Covid, as of 21 January. See below for more on how we calculated this.

As an example of the current risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have around 6 infected people breathing out virus for you to breathe in. In a full single decker bus, there will about 2 infected people breathing out virus. In a busy train carriage, there will be around 3 infected people breathing out virus. In these circumstances, unless you wear a respiratory filter mask, you are extremely likely to catch Covid. Cloth and surgical masks do not protect you.

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1 in 42 people in England likely now infected. 7 infected people in a busy supermarket. Risk of meeting someone with Covid remains Extremely High

Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 14 January 2024

Covid infection levels in England remain Extremely High, with between 1 in 32 and 1 in 43 people in England infected with Covid as of 10 January. It remains essential that everyone takes precautions to avoid catching Covid.

A range of data shows that ‘we have passed the peak’, i.e. that the near-record levels of Covid infection seen at Christmas are now declining. The number of people infected with Covid today (18 January) is probably between 1 in 42 and 1 in 69. However, even at these lower levels, the risk of catching Covid in your everyday life remains Extremely High.

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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 7 January 2024

Covid infection levels in England remain at near-record heights, with between 1 in 20 and 1 in every 28 people in England infected with Covid as of 7 January. These remain Critically High levels, and it is essential that everyone takes precautions to avoid catching Covid.

As an example of the risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have around 13 infected people breathing out virus for you to breathe in. In a full single decker bus, there will be 2 or 3 infected people breathing out virus. In a busy train carriage, there will be 6 or 7 infected people breathing out virus. In these circumstances, unless you wear a respiratory filter mask, you are extremely likely to catch Covid. Cloth and surgical masks do not protect you.

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