Articles in Author: Ben Clark

Covid infection levels in England relentlessly continue to rise, with around 1 in every 39 people in England now infected with Covid. (This is also the rate and risk for Bucks). As an example of the risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have between 6 and 11 infected people breathing out virus for you to breathe in. Remember, Covid spreads mainly through the air.

The risk level remains Extremely High. Infection levels are now the same as they were in mid-December 2022, at the beginning of the huge winter wave. If current trends continue, we should reach Critically High levels (more than 1 in every 25 people infected) in the next 6 to 8 weeks.

We are still seeing a steady week-on-week increase in Covid infections rather than a very steep peak. This suggests that the new Covid variant BA.2.86 is not yet infecting large numbers of people. A new variant which is highly infectious and escapes previous immunity usually causes a very sharp peak in infections. However, the criminal lack of Covid surveillance in the UK makes it hard to be sure.  

Alert: Hospitals and GP practices are extremely dangerous places to catch Covid. NHS staff are now required to work even if they have Covid and there are no Covid precautions in place at most NHS buildings. Do avoid hospitals and GP practices unless your visit is essential and wear a tight-fitted filter mask (FFP2 or FFP3) or respirator all the time if you have to go there.

The risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life remains Extremely High. The next wave of Covid continues to build, with around 1 in every 44 people in England now infected with Covid. (This is also the rate and risk for Bucks). The number of hospital patients infected with Covid, both in Bucks and nationally, also continues to rise very sharply.

As an example of the risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have between 5 and 10 infected people breathing out virus which you could catch.

It is likely that this continuing rise in Covid-infected people is being driven by a new variant, BA.2.86, and by waning immunity to by existing variants.

Hospitals and GP practices remain extremely dangerous places to catch Covid. NHS staff are now required to work even if they have Covid and there are no Covid precautions in place at most NHS buildings. Do avoid hospitals and GP practices unless your visit is essential and wear a tight-fitted filter mask (FFP2 or FFP3) all the time if you have to go there.

We’ve raised the risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life to Extremely High. The next wave of Covid continues to build, with around 1 in every 50 people in England now infected with Covid. (This is also the rate and risk for Bucks). The number of hospital patients infected with Covid, both in Bucks and nationally, also continues to rise very sharply.

As an example of the risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have between 5 and 8 infected people breathing out virus which you could catch.

Because of the limited number of virus tests being done, we don’t know whether this continuing rise in Covid-infected people is being driven by the new variant, BA.2.86 or by existing variants, or both.

Hospitals and GP practices remain the most dangerous places to catch Covid. NHS staff are now required to work even if they have Covid and there are no Covid precautions in place at most NHS buildings. Do avoid hospitals and GP practices unless your visit is essential and wear a tight-fitted filter mask (FFP2 or FFP3) all the time if you have to go there.

The risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life continues to rise. With around 1 in every 53 people in England now infected with Covid, the risk remains Very High. (This is also the rate and risk for Bucks). There also has been a sharp increase in the number of hospital patients infected with Covid.

As an example of the risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have between 4 and 8 infected people breathing out virus which you could catch.

Hospitals and GP practices remain the most dangerous places to catch Covid. NHS staff are now required to work even if they have Covid and there are no Covid precautions in place at most NHS buildings. Do avoid hospitals and GP practices unless your visit is essential and wear a tight-fitted filter mask (FFP2 or FFP3) all the time if you have to go there.

The risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life is continuing to increase. With around 1 in every 57 people in England infected with Covid, the risk remains Very High. (This is also the rate and risk for Bucks).

As an example of the risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have between 4 and 7 infected people breathing out virus which you could catch.

This increase in Covid infections marks the end of the “summer lull”. Risk levels have now returned to the level seen in the spring of this year. It is likely that Covid infections will now continue to increase over the rest of the summer and into the autumn. While it is too early to tell, we may be about to see a rapid increase caused by the spread of a new variant, EG.5.1, to which most people will not have immunity.

The risk of meeting a Covid-infected person in your everyday life this week is again higher than it was last week, and remains Very High. Around 1 in every 60 people in England have Covid – this is also the rate for Bucks.

As an example of the risk of catching Covid, a typical busy supermarket will have between 4 and 7 infected people breathing out virus which you could catch.

This increase in Covid infections may mean the end of the “summer lull”, or it may just be a temporary uptick and rates will go down again. We do not have enough data to tell at this stage. However, it is probably most likely that Covid infections will now continue to increase over the rest of the summer and into the autumn. We will keep you updated weekly, as we have done for the last 3 years.

BuDS continues to recommend that disabled and clinically vulnerable people avoid indoor spaces unless they are wearing a filter mask (FFP2/3). For more advice on how to avoid catching Covid, use this link.

This data is based on the Zoe Health Study for Covid-19, adjusted to take account of its limited coverage. To learn more about this, use this link.

To understand more about our Covid risk levels and what they mean, use this link.

For more Covid information and help, please contact BuDS and we will be happy to help.