Articles in Risk Assessments

The Covid wave in England has reached Very High levels of risk, with around 1 in every 103 people in England infected as of 12 October. Now is the time to take maximum precautions against catching Covid. Please ensure you get your Covid booster immediately if you are eligible or consider a private booster if not. People should also get their flu vaccine if available.

The Covid wave in England continues to grow, with infection levels up 11% in the last week. The risk level is hovering just below Very High. If you do not wish to catch Covid, please take precautions now. Please also get your Covid booster if you are eligible, or consider whether you can afford to get one privately.

As of 5 October, around 1 in every 111 people in England were infected, and the risk of encountering an infected person in most indoor places remains High. Unless the indoor air is fresh, or filtered/purified, good quality PPE respiratory masks are needed to protect yourself. If you need any advice about this, please do ask.

Covid infection levels in England have again risen sharply over the last week, as have other Covid measures. Infection levels are around a fifth higher, and the overall risk level remains High. It is clear that the next Covid wave is upon us, and we urge everyone take precautions against catching this dangerous virus. Now is also the time to get your Covid boosters (if available to you) as quickly as possible.

As of 21 September, around 1 in every 152 people in England were infected. This means that the risk of encountering an infected person in most indoor places is now High. Unless the indoor air is fresh, or filtered/purified, good quality PPE respiratory masks are needed to protect yourself. If you need any advice about this, please do ask.

Covid infection levels in England have risen sharply over the last 2 weeks, as have other Covid measures. The overall risk level has risen from moderately high to High. It is clear that the next Covid wave is building fast, and we urge everyone to resume or continue precautions against catching this dangerous virus. Now is also the time to get your Covid boosters (if available to you) as quickly as possible.

After their recent big jump, Covid infection levels in England have again remained roughly static this week. As of 31 August, around 1 in every 224 people in England were infected. A further increase is only a matter of time, and we shall continue to closely monitor the situation. As the overall trend in infection levels is still upwards, we continue to advise people to resume strict precautions.

Covid infection levels in England, which jumped by nearly a fifth the week before last, have remained at roughly the same level this week. We continue to advise people to start resuming strict precautions if they do not wish to catch Covid, as we believe the trend in infection levels is still upwards.

The long period of historically lower Covid infection levels in England has come to an end. Covid infection levels in England have jumped nearly a fifth in the last week, and the overall Covid risk is just below High. Now is the time for people to start resuming strict precautions if they do not wish to catch Covid.

Covid infection levels in England have once again risen, but remain at historically lower levels. Around 1 in every 249 people in England were infected in the week to 10 August, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.

Covid infection levels in England, measured by multiple data sources, have remained at historically lower levels since January 2025. We have not yet seen the huge waves of infection that we saw in 2024 and 2023. However, disregarding weekly fluctuations, Covid infection levels in England are very slowly rising, and this week’s infection level is the highest since January.

Covid infection levels in England remain at historically lower levels, despite a slight rise in the last 2 weeks. Around 1 in every 275 people in England were infected in the week to 20 July, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.

There is still no sign that any of the new variants circulating in England have become sufficiently competitive to trigger a new wave of Covid. While a significant number of people in England have Covid in any particular week (around 210,000 last week), it appears that newer variants are simply replacing older variants without much increase in the overall total. This churn of variants explains why weekly totals sometimes go up or down within the same historically lower range.

Covid infection levels in England have reduced to nearly the lowest level seen this year. Around 1 in every 306 people in England were infected in the week to 6 July, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.

We recognise that many people feel this situation is “too good to be true”. However, all data sources support the conclusion that Covid infection levels in England remain at historically lower levels, and we are confident in the advice we are giving to disabled and clinically vulnerable people. We closely monitor the situation, and we will be the first to sound the alarm if infection levels start to rise.