Covid infection levels in England have continued to slowly rise. As of the week ending 30 March, around 1 in every 273 people were infected. The overall Covid risk currently remains Moderately High, but we are tentatively predicting a Covid wave in late April or May.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessments
Articles in Covid-19
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 21 September 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 14 September 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 31 August 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 24 August 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 17 August 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 10 August 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 20 July 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 6 July 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 29 June 2025
- Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 22 June 2025
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 23 March 2025
For the first time in 18 weeks, Covid infection levels in England have risen slightly higher. As of the week ending 23 March, around 1 in every 293 people were infected, up 13% on last week. The overall Covid risk currently remains Moderately High, but we are tentatively predicting a Covid wave in April or May.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 16 March 2025
For the 17th week in a row, Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low. As of the week ending 16 March, around 1 in every 331 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
We have checked these figures against the only other reputable source available, the Scottish wastewater monitoring of Covid virus levels. While the figures aren’t directly comparable, both data sets show similar trends of a long period of static Covid levels. This makes us as confident as we can be that the Covid figures we give are credible.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 9 March 2025
Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low for the 16th week in a row. As of the week ending 9 March, around 1 in every 336 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
There is what might be the early signs of an increase in Covid infection levels, but not enough evidence to reliably indicate that a new wave is coming. We have checked these figures against the only other reputable source available, the Scottish wastewater monitoring of Covid virus levels. While the figures aren’t directly comparable, both data sets show similar trends of a long period of static Covid levels. This makes us as confident as we can be that the Covid figures we give are credible.
Influenza infections are still continuing to fall, and we expect them to be back to baseline levels in the next 2 months. However, UKHSA has warned of a possible second wave of a new variant of Norovirus, which causes sickness and diarrhoea and can be dangerous for many people. Norovirus is also a virus spread through the air by aerosol, like flu and Covid, as well as by droplets in the air and on surfaces.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 2 March 2025
For the 15th week in a row, Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low. As of the week ending 2 March, around 1 in every 343 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
We have checked these figures against the only other reputable source available, the Scottish wastewater monitoring of Covid virus levels. While the figures aren’t directly comparable, both data sets show similar trends of a long period of static Covid levels. This makes us as confident as we can be that the figures we give are credible.
Influenza infections are still continuing to fall, and we expect them to be back to baseline levels in the next 2 months.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 23 February 2025
Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low for the 14th week in a row. As of the week ending 23 February, around 1 in every 376 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
We have checked these figures against the only other reputable source available, the Scottish wastewater monitoring of Covid virus levels. While the figures aren’t directly comparable, both data sets show similar trends of a long period of static Covid levels. In addition, both sources are showing Covid levels to be at their lowest since 2021. This makes us as confident as we can be that the figures we give are credible.
Influenza infections continue to fall, and we expect them to be back to baseline levels in the next 2 months.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 16 February 2025
For the 13th week in a row, Covid infection levels in England have remained relatively low. As of the week ending 16 February, around 1 in every 338 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
Influenza infections also continue to fall, and we expect them to be back to baseline levels in the next 2 months.
BuDS continues to encourage everyone to take the level of Covid precautions that feels right for them, bearing in mind their own personal circumstances and the need to protect others. Our role is to give you the information to help you make informed decisions, and we will do so in this post.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 9 February 2025
Covid infection levels in England remain static and relatively low for the 12th week in a row. As of week ending 9 February, around 1 in every 335 people were infected, and the overall Covid risk remains Moderately High.
Influenza infections also continue to fall. We expect them to be back to baseline levels in the next 2 months.
BuDS continues to encourage everyone to take the level of Covid precautions that feels right for them, bearing in mind their own personal circumstances. Our role is to give you the information to help you make informed decisions, and we will do so in this post.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 2 February 2025
Covid infection levels in England for the week ending 2 February remained static and relatively low, with around 1 in every 339 people infected. The overall risk rating remains Moderately High. The unprecedented period of lower Covid levels continues for its 11th week. Influenza infections also continue to fall, although they are not yet back to baseline levels.
BuDS continues to encourage everyone to take the level of Covid precautions that feels right for them, bearing in mind their own personal circumstances. Our role is to give you the information to help you make informed decisions, and we will do so in this post.
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Covid-19 Risk Assessment: Week Ending 26 January 2025
Covid infection levels in England continue to fall, although the overall risk rating remains Moderately High. The level recorded for the week ending 26 January is probably the lowest level seen since 2021, with around 1 in every 362 people infected. Influenza infections also continue to fall, although they are not yet back to baseline levels.
A lengthy period of relatively low Covid levels has never happened before in England since 2021. We are as confident as we can be that this is a real situation, not due to data error or a reduced number of tests. In this new situation, BuDS continues to encourage everyone to take the level of Covid precautions that feels right for them, bearing in mind their own personal circumstances. Our role is to give you the information to help you make informed decisions, and we will do so in this post.
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